Treasury Doubled Long-Bond Buybacks: What That Can Change
A larger liquidity operation can improve Treasury market plumbing without resolving the inflation, deficit and term-premium questions keeping long yields elevated.
Published research
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A 9–3 Fed Hold Sets Up a High-Stakes Jackson Hole Speech
The July decision exposed an unusually wide policy split. Jackson Hole now becomes a test of how the Fed frames simultaneous inflation and growth risks.
Hormuz Supply Risk: A Framework for Oil and Inflation
Physical flows, inventories and shut-in production provide a sturdier way to assess Hormuz risk than short-lived price headlines.
A Framework for Dollar Weakness, High Yields and Gold
High long-term yields, a softer dollar and record-area gold can coexist when investors distinguish policy rates from fiscal, inflation and duration risk.
Nvidia's $91 Billion Guidance Faces an AI Margin Test
The next earnings report is about more than revenue. Demand mix, memory costs, financing and gross margin will show how much of the AI buildout is translating into durable economics.
Alibaba's HK$80 Billion AI Funding Plan Comes With Dilution
The share sale gives Alibaba more capital for full-stack AI and infrastructure. The market's next question is whether that spending produces per-share value faster than dilution absorbs it.
Salesforce's Agentforce Test: From AI Usage to Durable Revenue
Rapid growth in Agentforce metrics has raised expectations. This week's earnings need to show whether usage is incremental, paid and durable at the company level.
Marvell's AI Networking Moment: Can Bookings Become Revenue?
Data-center demand now dominates Marvell's mix. The August report will test how quickly AI networking and custom silicon orders convert into shipments, margins and cash flow.
What Walmart and Ross Stores Reveal About the American Consumer
Strong traffic at two value-oriented retailers points to resilient demand, but tariff refunds, business mix and upcoming dollar-store results complicate the simple trade-down story.
The GLP-1 Market's Next Test Is Adoption, Access and Safety
Oral treatment has shifted the obesity-drug debate from clinical possibility toward commercial execution: prescriptions, persistence, payer access, manufacturing and safe distribution.
10 High-Dividend and Income ETFs to Watch in 2026
A source-first comparison of eight dividend-stock ETFs and two option-income funds—what the yields measure, what each costs, and where the risks hide.